An independent guide to ratings, polls and statistics. Not affiliated with the former website on this domain, with politicians, parties or government authorities; this is not campaign material.

Questions and answers

Questions and answers

Short, self-contained answers about ratings, polls and statistics. Each answer can be read on its own without opening the others. If a question needs a detailed explanation, we link to the step-by-step article or the glossary. Numbers in the answers are either verified facts or clearly marked as a hypothetical example.

An honest answer about statistics often begins with "it depends on how it was calculated". That is not evasion — it is the heart of the matter.

— Editor's note

About polls

How can 1,000 people speak for the opinions of millions?

If the sample is built properly — every person in the group being studied had a chance of being included — a small sample reflects the whole well. For a simple random sample of 1,000 people and a proportion of around 50%, the margin of error is roughly ±3.1 percentage points.

If you survey twice as many people, does the margin of error halve?

No. The margin of error shrinks in proportion to the square root of the sample size, so to halve it you need a sample roughly four times larger.

Does the margin of error cover all of a poll's errors?

No. The statistical sampling error does not account for poor question wording, non-response or an unrepresentative sample. These errors can matter more than the margin of error itself.

What should a sound poll disclose?

Who commissioned and who conducted it, the dates, the survey method, the size and composition of the sample, the exact question wording and the margin of error. Professional associations of researchers, such as AAPOR and ESOMAR, have standards for disclosing methodology.

About ratings and reviews

Why can a product with five reviews have a higher score than one with a thousand?

With few reviews, the average score depends heavily on each individual opinion. Five glowing reviews give a perfect score but say far less about the product than a thousand reviews with a slightly lower average.

Are reviews a survey of customers?

Not quite. Reviews are voluntary and are more often left by people who are very satisfied or very dissatisfied. Such a sample is not random, so reviews are useful for spotting specific problems but poor at showing how most people rate a product.

What does first place in a ranking mean?

Only that, under the criteria and weights chosen by the compiler, that entry scored the most points. With other criteria the order could change, and places separated by fractions of a point may differ by chance.

How can you tell whether a ranking was compiled fairly?

Look for a disclosed methodology: who compiled it, using what criteria, on what data and over what period. If the methodology is not published, the ranking is hard to verify and should be relied on with caution.

About statistics

How does the mean differ from the median?

The mean is the sum of the values divided by their number; it is sensitive to extreme values. The median is the middle value of an ordered series; extreme values barely move it. That is why incomes and house prices are often reported as medians.

If two quantities rise together, does one cause the other?

Not necessarily. Correlation does not imply causation: both quantities may depend on a third factor or coincide by chance. To talk about cause, you need additional data and a well-thought-out study design.

What is Simpson's paradox?

It is a situation in which a trend within each group disappears or reverses when the groups are combined. The classic example is the 1973 graduate admissions data from the University of California, Berkeley: the overall gap between men and women was explained by which departments they applied to.

Where can I find Russia's official statistics?

Russia's official statistics are published by Rosstat, the Federal State Statistics Service. One example is the results of the 2020 All-Russian Population Census, which, because of the pandemic, was held from 15 October to 14 November 2021.

  • Guide sections

    A map of the guide: polls, ratings and reviews, averages and charts, official data.

  • Practical articles

    How to check a number from the news or an advert, step by step, plus a catalogue of upcoming articles.

  • Reference

    A glossary: sampling and polls, descriptive statistics, charts and data.

Sources

  • Rosstat (Federal State Statistics Service)
  • AAPOR — Transparency Initiative
  • ESOMAR — International Code
  • Textbooks on statistics and survey methodology
  • Encyclopaedic sources

Information is current as of the preparation date. Research methods, official statistics releases and the standards of professional associations change over time, so always check the latest data in the original sources.